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Borjomi vs Samgurali II

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Borjomi Logo

Borjomi

3 - 1
FT
Samgurali II Logo

Samgurali II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2018 game between Borjomi and Samgurali II finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borjomi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Borjomi
15%
Draws
73%
Samgurali II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samgurali II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Borjomi come out ahead of Samgurali II on wins alone.
  • 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 3 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 13%
Samgurali II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borjomi Samgurali II
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.29 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2018 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Samgurali II
3:1
Apr 5, 2018 Liga 3
Samgurali II vs Borjomi
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borjomi 35 / 100
Samgurali II 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borjomi Samgurali II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali II let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Borjomi scored in 69% of their last 42 games.

Away concern: Samgurali II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Borjomi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Borjomi

(Home)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
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Samgurali II

(Away)
21 Jul
Samgurali II
0 : 2
Gagra
10 Jun
Real Varketili 2
1 : 5
Samgurali II
21 Apr
Samgurali II
1 : 3
Telavi
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Dusheti
5 : 0
Samgurali II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)