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Borneo vs Arema FC

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Stadion Batakan
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Match Events

7' Event
Caxambu
Assist: Anez M.
26' Event
Villa J.
36'
Guntara L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Borneo and Arema FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Borneo
6%
Draws
4%
Arema FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Borneo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Borneo come out ahead of Arema FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Borneo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Borneo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Borneo Clean Sheet 20%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borneo Arema FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs Arema FC
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Borneo
1:3
Jan 19, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Arema FC
3:1
Aug 17, 2024 Super League
Arema FC vs Borneo
0:2
Aug 4, 2024 President Cup
Borneo vs Arema FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Villa J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caxambu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Arema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalberto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borneo 85 / 100
Arema FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borneo Arema FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borneo scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Borneo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Arema FC conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Borneo VS Arema FC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518