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Borneo vs Persebaya

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
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Match Events

15' Event
Villa J.
Assist: Anez M.
27'
Putra S.
30'
Ari K.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Borneo and Persebaya finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Borneo
15%
Draws
58%
Persebaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Persebaya come out ahead of Borneo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Borneo Clean Sheet 10%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borneo Persebaya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs Persebaya
5:1
Dec 20, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Borneo
2:2
May 18, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Persebaya
1:1
Dec 20, 2024 Super League
Persebaya vs Borneo
2:1
Mar 7, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Persebaya
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Villa J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Peralta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Persebaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelis L. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borneo 30 / 100
Persebaya 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borneo Persebaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borneo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Persebaya conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Borneo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Borneo VS Persebaya
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Borneo

(Home)
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
12 Sept
Persijap Jepara
0 : 1
Borneo
05 Sept
Borneo
0 : 1
Persija Jakarta
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3
Madura United
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
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Persebaya

(Away)
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1
Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2
Persebaya
04 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Arema FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)