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Bornheim vs 1. FC Duren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Bornheim and 1. FC Duren finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bornheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bornheim
15%
Draws
59%
1. FC Duren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1. FC Duren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bornheim come out ahead of 1. FC Duren on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans 1. FC Duren's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors 1. FC Duren here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bornheim Clean Sheet 10%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bornheim 1. FC Duren
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.14 1.55
Goals Conceded 2 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bornheim vs 1. FC Duren
1:3
May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bornheim vs 1. FC Duren
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Bornheim
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bornheim 10 / 100
1. FC Duren 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bornheim 1. FC Duren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1. FC Duren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Bornheim's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: 1. FC Duren conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Bornheim has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bornheim VS 1. FC Duren
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bornheim

(Home)
04 Oct
Chlodwig Zulpich
5 : 1
Bornheim
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
SpVg Porz 1919
2 : 0
Bornheim
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
06 Sept
Hennef
2 : 1
Bornheim
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1. FC Duren

(Away)
02 Oct
1. FC Duren
5 : 3
Konigsdorf
25 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
1. FC Duren
20 Sept
1. FC Duren
1 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
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