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Bornheim vs 1. FC Duren

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Bornheim host 1. FC Duren in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. 1. FC Duren have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Bornheim have conceded 1.38 and scored 2.75. Head-to-head, Bornheim have won 1 to 1. FC Duren's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 4:2. xG projections (2.31 - 1.69) back Bornheim to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bornheim
6%
Draws
4%
1. FC Duren
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bornheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bornheim has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to 1. FC Duren.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Bornheim.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Mittelrhein provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bornheim Clean Sheet 13%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bornheim 1. FC Duren
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bornheim vs 1. FC Duren
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Bornheim
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bornheim 84 / 100
1. FC Duren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bornheim 1. FC Duren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bornheim scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

1. FC Duren let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Bornheim went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

1. FC Duren lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bornheim VS 1. FC Duren
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385:2867
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686:3664
3Siegburger30195675:3462
4Merten30186680:2860
5VfL Vichttal30185780:4359
6FC Wegberg-Beeck30156962:3551
7Frechen301621266:5450
8Bornheim301441265:5646
9Konigsdorf301441253:5446
10Fortuna Koln II301361162:4745
111. FC Duren301151449:5938
12Hennef301121745:6635
13SpVg Porz 191930741958:9925
14Teutonia Weiden30442225:10416
15Sportfreunde Duren30422441:10314
16Pesch30222626:1128