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Bornova 1877 vs Nazillispor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kuzey A.
Assist: Yildirim E.
38' Event
Yilmaz B.
62' Event
Kuzey A.
Assist: Kirmaci B.

AI Match Summary

Bornova 1877 in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bornova 1877.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bornova 1877
15%
Draws
0%
Nazillispor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bornova 1877

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bornova 1877 have won more games recently than Nazillispor.
  • Win probability leans Bornova 1877's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Bornova 1877 Clean Sheet 13%
Nazillispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bornova 1877 Nazillispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 0
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 1.13 0.23
Goals Conceded 2.43 3.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Bornova 1877 vs Nazillispor
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Nazillispor vs Bornova 1877
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bornova 1877 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuzey A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Yilmaz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.03
Avg xA / game 1.97

Nazillispor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bornova 1877 84 / 100
Nazillispor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bornova 1877 Nazillispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bornova 1877 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nazillispor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Nazillispor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bornova 1877 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bornova 1877 VS Nazillispor
1.25 Goals Scored 0.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 6.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bornova 1877

(Home)
18 Apr
Bornova 1877
1 : 4
Balikesirspor
12 Apr
Kutahyaspor
2 : 0
Bornova 1877
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
29 Mar
Tire 2021 FK
2 : 4
Bornova 1877
24 Mar
Bornova 1877
2 : 3
Soke 1970
Page 1 of 6

Nazillispor

(Away)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
24 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 12
Eskisehir Anadolu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)