Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bornova 1877 vs Sivas Dort

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Arslan M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024 game between Bornova 1877 and Sivas Dort finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bornova 1877.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bornova 1877
40%
Draws
29%
Sivas Dort
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bornova 1877 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bornova 1877 Clean Sheet 15%
Sivas Dort Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bornova 1877 Sivas Dort
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Bornova 1877 vs Sivas Dort
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Sivas Dort vs Bornova 1877
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bornova 1877 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arslan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sivas Dort Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bornova 1877 31 / 100
Sivas Dort 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bornova 1877 Sivas Dort

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Bornova 1877 scored in 68% of their last 40 games.

Defensive concern: Sivas Dort conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Sivas Dort's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bornova 1877 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Karakopru28179251:2460
2Erbaaspor28169355:2157
3Silivrispor28149538:2251
4Bornova 187728155847:3350
5Kusadasispor28129736:2845
6Kutahyaspor281111640:2544
7Tepecik28109929:3039
8Agri 197028109936:3539
9Fatsa Bld.28910924:2737
10Osmaniyespor28851529:3429
111922 Konyaspor28771425:3028
12Bayburt Ozel Idare286101218:3828
13Darica Genclerbirligi28671518:3325
14Akhisarspor28541925:6719
15Sivas Dort28551822:4617