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Borussia Freialdenhoven vs Bonner - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Okoroafar M.
77' Event
Strobl H.

AI Match Summary

Bonner in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Borussia Freialdenhoven
35%
Draws
38%
Bonner
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bonner lately — more wins on the board than Borussia Freialdenhoven.
  • Win probability leans Borussia Freialdenhoven's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bonner have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Borussia Freialdenhoven Clean Sheet 19%
Bonner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borussia Freialdenhoven Bonner
Matches Played 29 40
Wins 8 18
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.59 2.05
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Borussia Freialdenhoven
2:2
Nov 10, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Borussia Freialdenhoven vs Bonner
0:2
May 21, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Borussia Freialdenhoven
5:0
Nov 6, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Borussia Freialdenhoven vs Bonner
0:4
Jul 21, 2019 Club Friendly
Bonner vs Borussia Freialdenhoven
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borussia Freialdenhoven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoroafar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strobl H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borussia Freialdenhoven 49 / 100
Bonner 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borussia Freialdenhoven Bonner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borussia Freialdenhoven Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Borussia Freialdenhoven's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bonner has conceded goals in 75% of their last 40 outings.

Solid form: Borussia Freialdenhoven remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bonner
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Borussia Freialdenhoven

(Home)
20 May
Borussia Freialdenhoven
4 : 1
Hennef
10 May
Bonner
2 : 2
Borussia Freialdenhoven
05 May
Borussia Freialdenhoven
1 : 3
Bonn-Endenich 08
21 Apr
Schafhausen
0 : 5
Borussia Freialdenhoven
14 Apr
Borussia Freialdenhoven
2 : 2
Frechen
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Bonner

(Away)
02 Oct
Bonner
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
27 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
1 : 1
Bonner
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 28 20 5 3 79:22 65
2 VfL Vichttal 28 18 4 6 72:28 58
3 Bonner 28 16 8 4 54:20 56
4 Frechen 28 17 4 7 64:31 55
5 Bergisch Gladbach 28 16 4 8 46:33 52
6 Siegburger 28 11 6 11 43:40 39
7 Fortuna Koln II 28 9 9 10 44:47 36
8 Konigsdorf 28 9 9 10 41:44 36
9 Hennef 28 10 2 16 40:59 32
10 FC Hurth 28 8 8 12 30:49 32
11 SpVg Porz 1919 28 10 1 17 39:63 31
12 Bonn-Endenich 08 28 6 5 17 32:55 23
13 Schafhausen 28 6 4 18 25:63 22
14 Germania Teveren 28 5 3 20 33:89 18
15 Glesch/Paffendorf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borussia Freialdenhoven 28 7 12 9 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)