Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs San Marino

World World

World Championship 2026 Bilino Polje, Zenica
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Capicchioni L. In: Valli Casadei M.
Out: Capicchioni L.
46'
Sub
Gigovic A. In: Memic A.
Out: Gigovic A.
46'
Sub
Malic A. In: Dedic A.
Out: Malic A.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Bosnia & Herzegovina and San Marino finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
6%
Draws
4%
San Marino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bosnia & Herzegovina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bosnia & Herzegovina come out ahead of San Marino on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bosnia & Herzegovina taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 68%
San Marino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bosnia & Herzegovina San Marino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 World Championship
San Marino vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
0:6
Jun 7, 2025 World Championship
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs San Marino
1:0
Oct 8, 2005 World Championship
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs San Marino
3:0
Jun 4, 2005 World Championship
San Marino vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bosnia & Herzegovina Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzeko E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

San Marino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bosnia & Herzegovina 95 / 100
San Marino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bosnia & Herzegovina San Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Bosnia & Herzegovina found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Bosnia & Herzegovina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bosnia & Herzegovina VS San Marino
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bosnia & Herzegovina

(Home)
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Switzerland
4 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6

San Marino

(Away)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)