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Bosque Formosa vs Botafogo DF

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 game between Bosque Formosa and Botafogo DF finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo DF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bosque Formosa
15%
Draws
85%
Botafogo DF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo DF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Bosque Formosa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Bosque Formosa taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 19%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bosque Formosa Botafogo DF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.77 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Botafogo DF
0:1
Apr 30, 2011 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Botafogo DF
1:4
Mar 27, 2011 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Bosque Formosa
1:3
Feb 20, 2011 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Botafogo DF
0:0
Jan 19, 2011 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Bosque Formosa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bosque Formosa 85 / 100
Botafogo DF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bosque Formosa Botafogo DF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bosque Formosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Botafogo DF conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Botafogo DF registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bosque Formosa found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bosque Formosa VS Botafogo DF
1.25 Goals Scored 0.43
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Bosque Formosa

(Home)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
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Botafogo DF

(Away)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 6 4 0 2 9:8 12
2 Brasiliense 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Bosque Formosa 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
4 Botafogo DF 6 1 0 5 6:9 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 (Play Offs)