Sport Picks
Boston River vs Danubio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras 
Match Events
42'
42'
Rivero M.
58'
58'
Sub
Siri N. In: Bonfiglio F.
Out: Siri N.
69'
69'
Sub
Tomatis B. In: Piriz D.
Out: Tomatis B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boston River
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Boston River lately — more wins on the board than Danubio.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Boston River Clean Sheet 16%
Danubio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boston River | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Danubio
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Boston River
2:0
Jan 12, 2026 Copa de la Liga AUF
Boston River vs Danubio
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Danubio
0:0
Jun 14, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Danubio
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boston River 36 / 100
Danubio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boston River Danubio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Danubio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Boston River scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Danubio let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Boston River remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Boston River VS Danubio
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Boston River
(Home) 17 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 Defensor Sp.
14 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
10 Oct
Wanderers
1 : 3 Boston River
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0 Juventud
26 Sept
Penarol
2 : 1 Boston River
Page 1 of 7
17 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 Defensor Sp.
14 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0 Juventud
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2 Fenix
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2 Progreso
Page 1 of 4
Danubio
(Away) 18 Oct
Danubio
1 : 0 Central Esp.
15 Oct
Central Esp.
0 : 6 Danubio
09 Oct
Montevideo City
1 : 0 Danubio
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Central Esp.
0 : 6 Danubio
09 Oct
Montevideo City
1 : 0 Danubio
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Danubio
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Penarol | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Maldonado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Juventud | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:8 | 17 |
| 8 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Boston River | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Danubio | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Albion | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 14 | Defensor Sp. | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
