Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

Boston River

2 - 4

Millonarios

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Hornos M.

Assist: Reyna G.

45'

Gonzalez A.

45'

Aguirre A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. This leg finished 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Boston River

20%

Draws

46%

Millonarios

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Millonarios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Millonarios have won more games recently than Boston River.
Model gives Millonarios a 46% chance of winning this.
Millonarios arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Millonarios, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Boston River Clean Sheet 21%

Millonarios Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Boston River	Millonarios
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	9	11
Draws	4	9
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.11	1.56
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Boston River vs Millonarios

2:4

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Millonarios vs Boston River

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston River Compare

Top Goalscorer Hornos M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gonzalez Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Millonarios Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Castro Espinosa B. D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston River 29 / 100

Millonarios 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Boston River Millonarios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Millonarios let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Boston River found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Boston River has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boston River VS Millonarios

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston River

(Home)

19 Sept

Boston River

1 : 2

Progreso

12 Sept

Racing Montevideo

3 : 2

Boston River

09 Sept

Boston River

2 : 0

Colon

06 Sept

Liverpool M.

1 : 0

Boston River

02 Sept

Liverpool M.

0 : 1

Boston River

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Millonarios

(Away)

19 Sept

Millonarios

3 : 0

Chico

14 Sept

Cucuta

1 : 2

Millonarios

11 Sept

Millonarios

1 : 1

Dep. Cali

06 Sept

Dep. Pereira

1 : 1

Millonarios

03 Sept

Santa Fe

3 : 2

Millonarios

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