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Boston United vs AFC Fylde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Rooney J.
35'
Cursons T.
51' Event
Mayor D.

AI Match Summary

AFC Fylde in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Fylde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Boston United
20%
Draws
44%
AFC Fylde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Fylde have won more games recently than Boston United.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AFC Fylde here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Boston United Clean Sheet 12%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston United AFC Fylde
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.21 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League
Boston United vs AFC Fylde
0:1
Feb 18, 2025 National League
AFC Fylde vs Boston United
1:2
Oct 23, 2024 National League
Boston United vs AFC Fylde
1:2
Apr 15, 2023 National League North
Boston United vs AFC Fylde
0:1
Nov 22, 2022 National League North
AFC Fylde vs Boston United
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AFC Fylde Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayor D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston United 35 / 100
AFC Fylde 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston United AFC Fylde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Fylde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Boston United's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Boston United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boston United VS AFC Fylde
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston United

(Home)
03 Oct
Yeovil
6 : 0
Boston United
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1
Woking
Page 1 of 6

AFC Fylde

(Away)
03 Oct
Southend
3 : 1
AFC Fylde
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2
Carlisle
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
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