Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boston United vs Lincoln City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bayliss T.

AI Match Summary

Lincoln City in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lincoln City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Boston United
39%
Draws
31%
Lincoln City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lincoln City lately — more wins on the board than Boston United.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lincoln City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Boston United Clean Sheet 16%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston United Lincoln City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 22
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Boston United vs Lincoln City
0:1
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Boston United vs Lincoln City
0:7
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Boston United vs Lincoln City
5:0
Jul 24, 2018 Club Friendly
Boston United vs Lincoln City
1:4
Jul 12, 2016 Club Friendly
Boston United vs Lincoln City
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lincoln City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayliss T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston United 30 / 100
Lincoln City 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston United Lincoln City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston United found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Boston United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lincoln City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Boston United VS Lincoln City
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston United

(Home)
14 Jul
Alfreton
1 : 2
Boston United
11 Jul
Boston United
0 : 1
Lincoln City
25 Apr
Boston United
3 : 1
Hartlepool
18 Apr
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Boston United
14 Apr
Wealdstone
1 : 1
Boston United
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Lincoln City

(Away)
17 Jul
Lincoln City
0 : 2
Leyton Orient
11 Jul
Boston United
0 : 1
Lincoln City
02 May
Port Vale
0 : 2
Lincoln City
25 Apr
Lincoln City
4 : 3
Wycombe
21 Apr
Doncaster
0 : 2
Lincoln City
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