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Botafogo ASF vs Amadense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Botafogo ASF Logo

Botafogo ASF

3 - 0
FT
Amadense Logo

Amadense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between Botafogo ASF and Amadense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo ASF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Botafogo ASF
20%
Draws
30%
Amadense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botafogo ASF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amadense come out ahead of Botafogo ASF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Botafogo ASF's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Botafogo ASF Clean Sheet 10%
Amadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo ASF Amadense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 Sergipano 3
Botafogo ASF vs Amadense
3:0
Mar 5, 2017 Sergipano
Amadense vs Botafogo ASF
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo ASF 74 / 100
Amadense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo ASF Amadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo ASF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amadense let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Botafogo ASF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Amadense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo ASF VS Amadense
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo ASF

(Home)
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

Amadense

(Away)
12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1
CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)