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Botafogo ASF vs Socorro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Botafogo ASF
35%
Draws
40%
Socorro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Socorro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo ASF haven't matched Socorro's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Socorro's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Socorro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Socorro, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Botafogo ASF Clean Sheet 10%
Socorro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo ASF Socorro
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.77 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Sergipano 3
Socorro vs Botafogo ASF
1:1
Oct 16, 2025 Sergipano 3
Botafogo ASF vs Socorro
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo ASF 18 / 100
Socorro 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo ASF Socorro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socorro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Socorro let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Botafogo ASF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Botafogo ASF's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo ASF VS Socorro
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo ASF

(Home)
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
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Socorro

(Away)
31 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Socorrense
25 Oct
Socorrense
2 : 1
Socorro
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
Socorro
3 : 0
Coritiba SE
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Socorro 4
Botafogo ASF 2
Sete de Junho 2
Socorrense 5
Estanciano EC 3
Santa Cruz SE 0
Propria 0
CS Maruinense 4
Semi-finals
Socorro 2
Socorrense 3
Estanciano EC 4
CS Maruinense 0
Final
Socorrense 1
Estanciano EC 2