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Botafogo BA vs Jacuipense

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo BA play Jacuipense in the Baiano 2 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botafogo BA averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Jacuipense averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo BA won 1, Jacuipense won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 18, 2014 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Botafogo BA and 0.86 for Jacuipense. This points to a Botafogo BA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Botafogo BA
27%
Draws
35%
Jacuipense
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Botafogo BA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo BA picked up more points recently compared to Jacuipense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Botafogo BA Clean Sheet 25%
Jacuipense Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo BA Jacuipense
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2014 Baiano
Jacuipense vs Botafogo BA
4:1
Feb 16, 2013 Baiano
Botafogo BA vs Jacuipense
1:1
Jul 21, 2012 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs Jacuipense
2:0
Jul 15, 2012 Baiano 2
Jacuipense vs Botafogo BA
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo BA 39 / 100
Jacuipense 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo BA Jacuipense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botafogo BA or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo BA attacking → ← attacking Jacuipense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo BA scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Jacuipense let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Botafogo BA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jacuipense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63