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Botafogo DF U20 vs Samambaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 2023 game between Botafogo DF U20 and Samambaia U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo DF U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Botafogo DF U20
20%
Draws
57%
Samambaia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samambaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo DF U20 haven't matched Samambaia U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Samambaia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Botafogo DF U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Samambaia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo DF U20 Samambaia U20
Matches Played 16 35
Wins 6 16
Draws 1 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.56 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Botafogo DF U20 vs Samambaia U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo DF U20 10 / 100
Samambaia U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo DF U20 Samambaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samambaia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo DF U20 scored in 81% of their last 16 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Samambaia U20 conceded in 57% of 35 recent games.

Botafogo DF U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Samambaia U20
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo DF U20

(Home)
15 Jun
Botafogo DF U20
2 : 4
Real Brasilia U20
08 Jun
Paranoa U20
1 : 0
Botafogo DF U20
05 Jun
Botafogo DF U20
1 : 1
Candango U20
01 Jun
Capital DF U20
5 : 1
Botafogo DF U20
22 May
Samambaense U20
0 : 1
Botafogo DF U20
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Samambaia U20

(Away)
08 Aug
Real Brasilia U20
1 : 0
Samambaia U20
01 Aug
Samambaia U20
0 : 0
Real Brasilia U20
25 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 4
Samambaia U20
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0
Candango U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)