Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo DF vs Ceilandense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceilandense in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Botafogo DF
15%
Draws
85%
Ceilandense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceilandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo DF have won more games recently than Ceilandense.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ceilandense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo DF Ceilandense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.43 0.5
Goals Conceded 4.29 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.29 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF
3:0
Feb 16, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF
3:3
Mar 12, 2011 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Ceilandense
2:1
Feb 2, 2011 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF
1:2
Apr 11, 2010 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Ceilandense
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo DF 10 / 100
Ceilandense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo DF Ceilandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Botafogo DF found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Ceilandense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Ceilandense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo DF VS Ceilandense
0.43 Goals Scored 0.5
4.29 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 25%
71% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo DF

(Home)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
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Ceilandense

(Away)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
2 Ceilandia 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Botafogo DF 6 2 2 2 7:12 8
4 Ceilandense 6 1 1 4 9:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2010 (Play Offs)