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Botafogo PB U20 vs Desportiva Guarabira U20

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB U20 play Desportiva Guarabira U20 in the Paraibano U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botafogo PB U20 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Desportiva Guarabira U20 averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo PB U20 won 1, Desportiva Guarabira U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Botafogo PB U20 and 0.69 for Desportiva Guarabira U20. This points to a Botafogo PB U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Botafogo PB U20
26%
Draws
23%
Desportiva Guarabira U20
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Botafogo PB U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Botafogo PB U20 picked up more points recently compared to Desportiva Guarabira U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Botafogo PB U20 Clean Sheet 28%
Desportiva Guarabira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB U20 Desportiva Guarabira U20
Matches Played 18 18
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Paraibano U20
Botafogo PB U20 vs Desportiva Guarabira U20
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB U20 52 / 100
Desportiva Guarabira U20 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB U20 Desportiva Guarabira U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botafogo PB U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo PB U20 attacking → ← attacking Desportiva Guarabira U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB U20 scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Desportiva Guarabira U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Botafogo PB U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Desportiva Guarabira U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 18
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Campinense U20541021:213
2Queimadense U20531118:810
3Treze PB U2052216:58
4Picuiense U2052126:57
5Sao Paulo Crystal U2051043:203
6Sport PB U2050143:171
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Confianca PB U20532014:211
2Botafogo PB U2053207:011
3Auto Esporte U2052217:58
4Miramar EC U2051225:85
5Desportiva Guarabira U2051045:123
6Spartax U2051041:123
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nacional de Patos U20440017:512
2EC de Patos U20421116:67
3Sousa U20421111:37
4Sabugy U2041033:203
5Serrano PB U2040041:140