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Botafogo PB vs Concordia Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil 2025 Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gama de Almeida M.
34' Event
Guilherme Santos
46'
Sub
Sidcley In: Evandro
Out: Sidcley

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB in this Copa Betano do Brasil 2025 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Botafogo PB
30%
Draws
23%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo PB have won more games recently than Concordia.
  • Botafogo PB are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Botafogo PB have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo PB, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Concordia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Botafogo PB vs Concordia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Gama de Almeida M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Concordia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 68 / 100
Concordia 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Botafogo PB scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Concordia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Concordia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CRB -
Cruzeiro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional de Limeira 0
Vila Nova FC 1
Rio Branco-VN 1
Amazonas 0
Maringa FC 1
EC Juventude 0
Uniao Carmolandense 4
America RN 2
Tocantinopolis 0
Atletico-MG 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manaus FC 2
Concordia 2
Ponte Preta 1
Portuguesa 1
Botafogo PB 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamengo RJ -
Operario VG 1
Sport Recife 0
Rio Branco ES 1
Novorizontino 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Sergipe 0
Ceara 2
Parnahyba 0
Confianca 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Palmeiras -
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maranhao 0
Vitoria 1
Santa Cruz de Natal 0
Nautico 4
Trem 0
Brusque 2
Olaria 1
ABC 0
Pouso Alegre 0
Athletico-PR 2
Guarany de Bage 2
AE Altos 1
Tuna Luso 1
Sampaio Correa 0
Boavista 0
CSA 2
Sao Raimundo RR 1
Gremio 2
Barcelona FC 1
Athletic Club 2
SC Humaita 0
Operario-PR 1
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 1
Tombense 3
Uniao Rondonopolis 0
Vasco 3
Barcelona RO 1
Nova Iguacu 4
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho 1
Cuiaba 0
Capital 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
Operario MS 0
Criciuma 1
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Remo 4
Sousa 1
Bragantino 2
Oratorio 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Fluminense 8
Dourados 0
SER Caxias do Sul 2
FC Cascavel 1
America MG 0
Votuporanguense 2
Aparecidense 3
Internacional -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ceilandia 3
Coritiba 2
Maracana 2
Ferroviario 1
ASA 1
Atletico GO 2
Jequie 1
Retro 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortaleza -
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
1/32-finals
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
CRB -
Cruzeiro -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 6
Rio Branco-VN 0
Maringa FC 4
Uniao Carmolandense 2
Atletico-MG 4
Manaus FC 1
Concordia 0
Botafogo PB 4
TBD -
Flamengo RJ -
Operario VG 0
Novorizontino 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Ceara 3
Confianca 2
TBD -
Palmeiras -
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
Vitoria 0
Nautico 2
Brusque 2
Olaria 1
Athletico-PR 3
Guarany de Bage 1
Tuna Luso 0
CSA 5
Gremio 4
Athletic Club 3
Operario-PR 1
Tombense 0
Vasco 3
Nova Iguacu 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
Porto Velho 1
Capital 3
Criciuma 2
Remo 1
Bragantino 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Fluminense 2
SER Caxias do Sul 1
FC Cascavel 0
Aparecidense 1
Internacional -
TBD -
Ceilandia 0
Maracana 1
Atletico GO 1
Retro 2
TBD -
Fortaleza -
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
1/16-finals
Santos 1
CRB 2
Cruzeiro 5
Vila Nova FC 0
Maringa FC 2
Atletico-MG 6
Botafogo PB 2
Flamengo RJ 5
Novorizontino 0
Corinthians 2
Ceara 0
Palmeiras 4
Sao Paulo 4
Nautico 2
Brusque 0
Athletico-PR 1
CSA 3
Gremio 2
Operario-PR 2
Vasco 3
Botafogo RJ 4
Capital 1
Criciuma 1
Bragantino 6
Fluminense 5
Aparecidense 1
Internacional 4
Maracana 0
Retro 3
Fortaleza 2
Paysandu PA 0
Bahia 5
1/8-finals
CRB 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 2
Flamengo RJ 1
Corinthians 3
Palmeiras 0
Sao Paulo 2
Athletico-PR 3
CSA 1
Vasco 3
Botafogo RJ 3
Bragantino 0
Fluminense 3
Internacional 2
Retro 2
Bahia 3
Quarter-finals
Cruzeiro 4
Atletico-MG 0
Corinthians 3
Athletico-PR 0
Vasco 3
Botafogo RJ 2
Fluminense 2
Bahia 1
Semi-finals
Cruzeiro 2
Corinthians 3
Vasco 3
Fluminense 2
Final
Corinthians 2
Vasco 1