Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB host Santa Cruz in the Serie C. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Botafogo PB have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Santa Cruz's 1.38 scored and 0.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Botafogo PB slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 8, 2023, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.00 - 0.94) back Botafogo PB to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Botafogo PB
6%
Draws
4%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo PB come out ahead of Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Botafogo PB a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2023 Copa do Nordeste
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
1:1
Jul 24, 2021 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Apr 10, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
0:1
Oct 25, 2020 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 85 / 100
Santa Cruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Botafogo PB scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Santa Cruz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2
Botafogo PB
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Confianca
06 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
30 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Brusque
20 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
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Santa Cruz

(Away)
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Figueirense
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
2 Guarani 15 7 5 3 28:15 26
3 Botafogo PB 15 8 1 6 21:16 25
4 Internacional de Limeira 15 7 4 4 18:17 25
5 Santa Cruz 15 7 3 5 15:11 24
6 Paysandu PA 15 7 2 6 23:21 23
7 Maringa FC 15 6 5 4 28:25 23
8 Ferroviaria 15 6 5 4 15:12 23
9 Ypiranga FC 15 6 3 6 18:19 21
10 SER Caxias do Sul 15 5 6 4 14:12 21
11 Floresta EC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
12 Amazonas 15 6 2 7 15:20 20
13 Figueirense 15 5 5 5 13:18 20
14 Ituano 15 5 4 6 16:17 19
15 Volta Redonda 15 5 3 7 11:19 18
16 Maranhao 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
17 Itabaiana 15 4 5 6 13:18 17
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 15 3 6 6 17:17 15
19 Anapolis 15 3 3 9 13:19 12
20 Confianca 15 3 3 9 9:15 12
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)