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Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Dudu Hatamoto
29'
PK
30'
Nene

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Botafogo PB and Santa Cruz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Botafogo PB
35%
Draws
55%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz come out ahead of Botafogo PB on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 25%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
1:0
Aug 8, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz
2:2
Jan 8, 2023 Copa do Nordeste
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
1:1
Jul 24, 2021 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu Hatamoto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Candido
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eron
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 21 / 100
Santa Cruz 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botafogo PB scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Botafogo PB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Santa Cruz
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz

(Away)
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)