Sport Picks
Botafogo RJ vs Athletico-PR
Brazil
Serie A Betano Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro 
Match Events
11'
11'
Cruz J.
13'
13'
Viveros K.
Assist: Dantas
35'
35'
Kauan Toledo
AI Match Summary
Athletico-PR in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletico-PR.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Athletico-PR lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo RJ.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botafogo RJ | Athletico-PR |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Athletico-PR
2:3
Mar 29, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Botafogo RJ
4:1
Oct 5, 2024 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Botafogo RJ
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Athletico-PR
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Athletico-PR
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Botafogo RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Athletico-PR Compare
Top Goalscorer Viveros K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cruz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botafogo RJ 32 / 100
Athletico-PR 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botafogo RJ Athletico-PR
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botafogo RJ scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Athletico-PR let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Botafogo RJ stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Botafogo RJ VS Athletico-PR
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Botafogo RJ
(Home) 16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1 Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0 Botafogo RJ
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1 Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
21 Aug
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0 Cienciano
Page 1 of 3
Athletico-PR
(Away) 12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3 Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
15 Aug
Athletico-PR
1 : 1 Bragantino
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
09 Aug
Santos
0 : 2 Athletico-PR
06 Aug
Vitoria
4 : 0 Athletico-PR
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 56 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:43 | 35 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 33 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:38 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
