Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo RJ vs Bangu

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Kadu
17' Event
Edenilson
Assist: Arthur Cabral
34'
Sub
Dioguinho In: Kauan Guilherme
Out: Dioguinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Botafogo RJ
35%
Draws
32%
Bangu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bangu haven't matched Botafogo RJ's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Botafogo RJ a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Botafogo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo RJ, who have won 5 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Botafogo RJ here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Bangu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ Bangu
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
2:0
Jan 20, 2024 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
2:0
Feb 11, 2023 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Edenilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caio Valle
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bangu Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 42 / 100
Bangu 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ Bangu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Bangu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Botafogo RJ stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Bangu
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
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Bangu

(Away)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1
Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1
Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0
Volta Redonda
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bangu 2
Volta Redonda 1
Boavista 0
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Bangu 1
Botafogo RJ 3