Sport Picks
Botafogo RJ vs Barcelona SC
South America
Copa Libertadores Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro 
Match Events
8'
8'
Celiz M.
Assist: Martinez T.
34'
34'
Sub
Ponte M. In: Correa J.
Out: Ponte M.
34'
34'
Sub
Rojas J. In: Castillo B.
Out: Rojas J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barcelona SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Barcelona SC haven't matched Botafogo RJ's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo RJ taking it.
- Botafogo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Barcelona SC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botafogo RJ | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Botafogo RJ vs Barcelona SC
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC vs Botafogo RJ
1:1
May 3, 2017 Copa Libertadores
Botafogo RJ vs Barcelona SC
0:2
Apr 21, 2017 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC vs Botafogo RJ
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Botafogo RJ Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Barcelona SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Celiz M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botafogo RJ 51 / 100
Barcelona SC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botafogo RJ Barcelona SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botafogo RJ found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).
Defensive concern: Barcelona SC conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Botafogo RJ stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Botafogo RJ VS Barcelona SC
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Botafogo RJ
(Home) 19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0 Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1 Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1 Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
21 Aug
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0 Cienciano
Page 1 of 3
Barcelona SC
(Away) 13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0 Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0 Orense
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0 Barcelona SC
16 Aug
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0 Barcelona SC
06 Aug
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 0 Barcelona SC
02 Aug
Leones del Norte
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Juventud 5
U. Catolica 4
TBD -
Guarani -
Liverpool M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Ind. Medellin -
The Strongest 2
Dep. Tachira 3
TBD -
Deportes Tolima -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
2 de Mayo 2
A. Lima 1
TBD -
Sporting Cristal -
Carabobo -
TBD -
TBD -
Huachipato -
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Argentinos Jrs -
Nacional Potosi -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
Semi-finals
Juventud 2
Guarani 1
Liverpool M. 1
Ind. Medellin 2
Dep. Tachira 1
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 3
Bahia 2
2 de Mayo 2
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 3
Huachipato 1
Barcelona SC 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Nacional Potosi 1
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Juventud 2
Ind. Medellin 3
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 1
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 2
Barcelona SC 2
Botafogo RJ 1
