Sport Picks
Botafogo RJ vs Barcelona SC
South America
Copa Libertadores Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro 
Match Events
8'
8'
Celiz M.
Assist: Martinez T.
34'
34'
Sub
Ponte M. In: Correa J.
Out: Ponte M.
34'
34'
Sub
Rojas J. In: Castillo B.
Out: Rojas J.
AI Match Summary
Barcelona SC in this Copa Libertadores tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barcelona SC haven't matched Botafogo RJ's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Botafogo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Barcelona SC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 27%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botafogo RJ | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Botafogo RJ vs Barcelona SC
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC vs Botafogo RJ
1:1
May 3, 2017 Copa Libertadores
Botafogo RJ vs Barcelona SC
0:2
Apr 21, 2017 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC vs Botafogo RJ
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Botafogo RJ Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Barcelona SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Celiz M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botafogo RJ 38 / 100
Barcelona SC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botafogo RJ Barcelona SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botafogo RJ found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).
Defensive concern: Barcelona SC conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Botafogo RJ stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Botafogo RJ VS Barcelona SC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Botafogo RJ
(Home) 16 Jul
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1 Santos
30 May
Bahia
2 : 1 Botafogo RJ
27 May
Caracas
1 : 3 Botafogo RJ
23 May
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Botafogo RJ
21 May
Independiente
0 : 3 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1 Santos
17 May
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1 Corinthians
07 May
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1 Racing Club
02 May
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2 Remo
28 Apr
Botafogo RJ
3 : 0 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
Barcelona SC
(Away) 19 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 0 Libertad
16 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 Guayaquil City
12 Jul
Emelec
0 : 0 Barcelona SC
05 Jul
Barcelona SC
2 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
02 Jun
Tecnico U.
1 : 0 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Emelec
0 : 0 Barcelona SC
02 Jun
Tecnico U.
1 : 0 Barcelona SC
29 May
Cruzeiro
4 : 0 Barcelona SC
24 May
Delfin
1 : 2 Barcelona SC
22 May
U. Catolica
2 : 0 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Juventud5
U. Catolica4
TBD-
Guarani-
Liverpool M.-
TBD-
TBD-
Ind. Medellin-
The Strongest2
Dep. Tachira3
TBD-
Deportes Tolima-
O Higgins-
TBD-
TBD-
Bahia-
2 de Mayo2
A. Lima1
TBD-
Sporting Cristal-
Carabobo-
TBD-
TBD-
Huachipato-
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Argentinos Jrs-
Nacional Potosi-
TBD-
TBD-
Botafogo RJ-
Semi-finals
Juventud2
Guarani1
Liverpool M.1
Ind. Medellin2
Dep. Tachira1
Deportes Tolima2
O Higgins3
Bahia2
2 de Mayo2
Sporting Cristal3
Carabobo3
Huachipato1
Barcelona SC2
Argentinos Jrs1
Nacional Potosi1
Botafogo RJ2
Final
Juventud2
Ind. Medellin3
Deportes Tolima2
O Higgins1
Sporting Cristal3
Carabobo2
Barcelona SC2
Botafogo RJ1