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Botafogo RJ vs Boavista - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Cesinha In: Luis Henrique
Out: Cesinha
58'
Luis Henrique
62'
Novaes A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Botafogo RJ
35%
Draws
45%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botafogo RJ lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Boavista taking it.
  • Botafogo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 15%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ Boavista
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.42 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Boavista
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Carioca
Boavista vs Botafogo RJ
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Carioca
Boavista vs Botafogo RJ
1:1
Mar 31, 2024 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Boavista
2:0
Mar 27, 2024 Carioca
Boavista vs Botafogo RJ
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 15 / 100
Boavista 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boavista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Boavista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Botafogo RJ went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Boavista
0.75 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2
Vasco
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
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Boavista

(Away)
26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0
Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1
Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0
Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0
Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bangu 2
Volta Redonda 1
Boavista 0
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Bangu 1
Botafogo RJ 3