Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo RJ vs Boavista

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Cesinha In: Luis Henrique
Out: Cesinha
58'
Luis Henrique
62'
Novaes A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Botafogo RJ
30%
Draws
33%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botafogo RJ lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Botafogo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Boavista Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ Boavista
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.7 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Boavista
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Carioca
Boavista vs Botafogo RJ
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Carioca
Boavista vs Botafogo RJ
1:1
Mar 31, 2024 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Boavista
2:0
Mar 27, 2024 Carioca
Boavista vs Botafogo RJ
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 32 / 100
Boavista 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Boavista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Botafogo RJ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Boavista
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)
09 Aug
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Fluminense
26 Jul
Cruzeiro
0 : 1
Botafogo RJ
23 Jul
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Vitoria
16 Jul
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1
Santos
30 May
Bahia
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Boavista

(Away)
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0
Boavista
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
28 Feb
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Boavista
24 Feb
Boavista
2 : 3
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bangu 2
Volta Redonda 1
Boavista 0
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Bangu 1
Botafogo RJ 3