Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Botafogo RJ

3 - 0

Independiente

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Ponte M.

Assist: Alex Telles

56'

Sub

Cardozo R. In: Mercado A.

Out: Cardozo R.

56'

Sub

Cristaldo J. E. In: Rivas R.

Out: Cristaldo J. E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ in this Copa Sudamericana tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Botafogo RJ

Draws

Independiente

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botafogo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Botafogo RJ have won more games recently than Independiente.
Model gives Botafogo RJ a 90% chance of winning this.
Botafogo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Botafogo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Independiente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botafogo RJ	Independiente
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	14	8
Draws	6	3
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	1.38	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Independiente vs Botafogo RJ

0:3

Apr 28, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Botafogo RJ vs Independiente

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponte M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Montoro A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 95 / 100

Independiente 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botafogo RJ Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botafogo RJ scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Independiente conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Independiente has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Independiente

1.38 Goals Scored 0.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)

26 Jul

Cruzeiro

0 : 1

Botafogo RJ

23 Jul

Botafogo RJ

0 : 0

Vitoria

16 Jul

Botafogo RJ

2 : 1

Santos

30 May

Bahia

2 : 1

Botafogo RJ

27 May

Caracas

1 : 3

Botafogo RJ

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Independiente

(Away)

25 Jul

Independiente

1 : 2

Oriente Petrolero

21 Jul

Independiente

1 : 2

Real Potosi

16 Jul

Academia del Balompie

3 : 1

Independiente

12 Jul

Tomayapo

2 : 1

Independiente

27 May

Racing Club

2 : 0

Independiente

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