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Botafogo SP vs Ceara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo SP host Ceara in the Serie B. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Botafogo SP have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Ceara's 1.13 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Ceara slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward Ceara. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Botafogo SP
30%
Draws
47%
Ceara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo SP haven't matched Ceara's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 16%
Ceara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Ceara
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Botafogo SP
0:1
Nov 13, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Ceara
1:4
Jul 26, 2024 Serie B
Ceara vs Botafogo SP
4:1
Nov 4, 2023 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Ceara
2:2
Jul 8, 2023 Serie B
Ceara vs Botafogo SP
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 31 / 100
Ceara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Ceara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo SP scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Botafogo SP stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Ceara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
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Ceara

(Away)
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1
Ceara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
2 EC Juventude 31 16 8 7 35:19 56
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 42:33 47
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Sao Bernardo 31 12 9 10 43:32 45
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 30:39 42
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 37:35 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30:42 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 3 4 24 17:66 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)