Sport Picks
Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto 
Match Events
12'
12'
Felipe Vieira
21'
21'
Romulo
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Felipe Vieira
Assist: Kelvin
AI Match Summary
Novorizontino in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novorizontino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Novorizontino lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo SP.
- Model gives Novorizontino a 62% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 10%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botafogo SP | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino
1:3
May 10, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Botafogo SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipe Vieira
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Novorizontino Compare
Top Goalscorer Robson
1 Goals Assists Leader Matheus Bianqui
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botafogo SP 10 / 100
Novorizontino 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botafogo SP Novorizontino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botafogo SP scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Novorizontino conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Botafogo SP stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Botafogo SP VS Novorizontino
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Botafogo SP
(Home) 19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2 Cuiaba
20 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Criciuma
08 Aug
Botafogo SP
2 : 1 America MG
Page 1 of 3
Novorizontino
(Away) 25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
16 Aug
CRB
0 : 0 Novorizontino
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 53 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 35:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:27 | 51 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 31:27 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 7 | CRB | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30:25 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 14 | Nautico | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:37 | 41 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39:43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21:50 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
