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Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Botafogo SP Logo

Botafogo SP

0 - 1
FT
Vila Nova FC Logo

Vila Nova FC

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Marquinhos Gabriel
45' Event
Janderson
Assist: Hayner
61'
Sub
Everton Galdino In: Emerson Urso
Out: Everton Galdino
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Botafogo SP and Vila Nova FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Nova FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Botafogo SP
30%
Draws
43%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vila Nova FC a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 16%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova FC
0:1
Jun 8, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Botafogo SP
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Botafogo SP
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Botafogo SP
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Janderson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 28 / 100
Vila Nova FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Vila Nova FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botafogo SP scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Vila Nova FC let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Botafogo SP has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Vila Nova FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2
Botafogo SP
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
Page 1 of 6

Vila Nova FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0
Cuiaba
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)