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Botev Galabovo vs Etar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Karadayi E.
68' Event
Ognyanov A.
80' Event
Angelov M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Botev Galabovo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Botev Galabovo
30%
Draws
47%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Etar come out ahead of Botev Galabovo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Botev Galabovo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Etar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Etar, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Etar have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Botev Galabovo Clean Sheet 10%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Galabovo Etar
Matches Played 18 27
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2019 Bulgarian Cup
Botev Galabovo vs Etar
2:1
Apr 22, 2017 Vtora liga
Etar vs Botev Galabovo
2:1
Oct 22, 2016 Vtora liga
Botev Galabovo vs Etar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Galabovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Karadayi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ognyanov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Galabovo 47 / 100
Etar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Galabovo Etar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Galabovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Botev Galabovo scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Botev Galabovo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Etar
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Galabovo

(Home)
08 Mar
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Botev Galabovo
04 Mar
Botev Galabovo
0 : 1
Botev Plovdiv
29 Feb
Botev Galabovo
1 : 1
Spartak Pleven
22 Feb
Lok. Sofia
2 : 0
Botev Galabovo
15 Feb
Botev Galabovo
0 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
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Etar

(Away)
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Botev Galabovo 2
Etar 1
Chernomorets Balchik 0
Bistritsa 4
Zagorets 0
Slavia Sofia 4
Minyor Pernik 1
Botev Plovdiv 2
Hebar 0
Arda 2
Gorna 0
CSKA Sofia 3
Kariana Erden 3
Tsarsko Selo 0
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 4
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Lok. Plovdiv 3
FC Lovech 3
Montana 0
Pomorie 0
Beroe 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
Cherno More 3
Spartak Varna 1
Levski Sofia 5
Spartak Pleven 3
Septemvri Sofia 4
Neftochimic Burgas 1
Ludogorets 4
1/8-finals
Botev Galabovo 2
Bistritsa 1
Slavia Sofia 1
Botev Plovdiv 2
Arda 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Kariana Erden 0
Botev Vratsa 4
Lok. Plovdiv 2
FC Lovech 1
Beroe 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
Cherno More 0
Levski Sofia 1
Septemvri Sofia 0
Ludogorets 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Galabovo 0
Botev Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Botev Vratsa 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Levski Sofia 1
Ludogorets 0
Semi-finals
Botev Plovdiv 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Levski Sofia 0
Final
CSKA Sofia 0
Lok. Plovdiv 1