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Botev Ihtiman vs Natsional Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Ihtiman in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botev Ihtiman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Botev Ihtiman
20%
Draws
29%
Natsional Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman have won more games recently than Natsional Sofia.
  • Win probability leans Botev Ihtiman's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 20%
Natsional Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Natsional Sofia
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 12 1
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.42 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.32 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Natsional Sofia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 85 / 100
Natsional Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Natsional Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Natsional Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Botev Ihtiman's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Botev Ihtiman went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Natsional Sofia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
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Natsional Sofia

(Away)
19 Sept
Natsional Sofia
2 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3
Natsional Sofia
22 Aug
Natsional Sofia
0 : 3
Strumska Slava
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