Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Lukovit vs Kariana Erden

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kariana Erden in this Third League - North-West 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kariana Erden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Botev Lukovit
15%
Draws
0%
Kariana Erden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Lukovit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botev Lukovit have won more games recently than Kariana Erden.
  • Win probability leans Botev Lukovit's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kariana Erden have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Botev Lukovit Clean Sheet 20%
Kariana Erden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Lukovit Kariana Erden
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.35 1
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Kariana Erden
0:5
Oct 15, 2017 Third League - North-West
Kariana Erden vs Botev Lukovit
4:0
Apr 17, 2016 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Kariana Erden
3:2
Sep 27, 2015 Third League - North-West
Kariana Erden vs Botev Lukovit
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Lukovit 85 / 100
Kariana Erden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Lukovit Kariana Erden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Lukovit Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kariana Erden conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Kariana Erden has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Botev Lukovit scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kariana Erden
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Lukovit

(Home)
02 Jun
Parva Atomna
5 : 0
Botev Lukovit
24 May
Botev Lukovit
1 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
19 May
Lokomotiv Dryanovo
3 : 0
Botev Lukovit
12 May
Botev Lukovit
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
05 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
4 : 2
Botev Lukovit
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Kariana Erden

(Away)
22 May
Hebar
3 : 0
Kariana Erden
12 May
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Kariana Erden
03 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3 : 0
Kariana Erden
25 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3
Septemvri Sofia
19 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3
FC Lovech
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kariana Erden 30 25 5 0 100:19 80
2 Sevlievo 30 20 4 6 60:27 64
3 Vihar Slavyanovo 30 17 7 6 68:32 58
4 Bdin Vidin 30 16 5 9 57:33 53
5 Parva Atomna 30 15 7 8 45:29 52
6 OFK Levski 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 Yantra Gabrovo 30 13 4 13 60:39 43
8 Spartak Pleven 30 10 9 11 39:46 39
9 Akademik Svishtov 30 9 10 11 45:46 37
10 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 11 4 15 34:50 37
11 Tryavna 30 10 6 14 33:47 36
12 Pavlikeni 30 10 2 18 34:62 32
13 Botev Lukovit 30 9 3 18 37:64 30
14 Yantra Polski Trambesh 30 7 5 18 37:61 26
15 Yantra 2019 30 7 2 21 26:71 23
16 Mizia Knezha 30 6 4 20 24:75 22
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)