Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Lukovit vs Pavlikeni

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2017/2018 game between Botev Lukovit and Pavlikeni finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Lukovit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Botev Lukovit
15%
Draws
0%
Pavlikeni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Lukovit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pavlikeni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Botev Lukovit taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Botev Lukovit Clean Sheet 19%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Lukovit Pavlikeni
Matches Played 34 40
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.35 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2019 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Botev Lukovit
2:1
Aug 12, 2018 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Pavlikeni
2:2
Apr 1, 2018 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Pavlikeni
3:1
Sep 3, 2017 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Botev Lukovit
2:0
Mar 27, 2016 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Pavlikeni
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Lukovit 40 / 100
Pavlikeni 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Lukovit Pavlikeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Lukovit Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: Pavlikeni has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Botev Lukovit found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Pavlikeni let in goals in 68% of their last 40 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pavlikeni
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Lukovit

(Home)
02 Jun
Parva Atomna
5 : 0
Botev Lukovit
24 May
Botev Lukovit
1 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
19 May
Lokomotiv Dryanovo
3 : 0
Botev Lukovit
12 May
Botev Lukovit
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
05 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
4 : 2
Botev Lukovit
Page 1 of 7

Pavlikeni

(Away)
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kariana Erden 30 25 5 0 100:19 80
2 Sevlievo 30 20 4 6 60:27 64
3 Vihar Slavyanovo 30 17 7 6 68:32 58
4 Bdin Vidin 30 16 5 9 57:33 53
5 Parva Atomna 30 15 7 8 45:29 52
6 OFK Levski 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 Yantra Gabrovo 30 13 4 13 60:39 43
8 Spartak Pleven 30 10 9 11 39:46 39
9 Akademik Svishtov 30 9 10 11 45:46 37
10 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 11 4 15 34:50 37
11 Tryavna 30 10 6 14 33:47 36
12 Pavlikeni 30 10 2 18 34:62 32
13 Botev Lukovit 30 9 3 18 37:64 30
14 Yantra Polski Trambesh 30 7 5 18 37:61 26
15 Yantra 2019 30 7 2 21 26:71 23
16 Mizia Knezha 30 6 4 20 24:75 22
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)