Sport Picks
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Chernomorets Balchik in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets Balchik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Botev Novi Pazar haven't matched Chernomorets Balchik's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Chernomorets Balchik's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Chernomorets Balchik have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Chernomorets Balchik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 24 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 2.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:0
May 23, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:4
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Botev Novi Pazar
4:0
Apr 27, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Oct 20, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botev Novi Pazar Chernomorets Balchik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botev Novi Pazar's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Botev Novi Pazar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Chernomorets Balchik has conceded goals in 33% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Botev Novi Pazar VS Chernomorets Balchik
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Novi Pazar
(Home) 03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4 Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
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03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4 Vihren
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
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Chernomorets Balchik
(Away) 03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3 Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3 Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
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19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
