Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Novi Pazar vs FK Ticha

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Botev Novi Pazar
30%
Draws
0%
FK Ticha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botev Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Botev Novi Pazar average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of FK Ticha's 1.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Botev Novi Pazar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 16%
FK Ticha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Novi Pazar FK Ticha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs FK Ticha
3:0
Oct 18, 2015 Third League - North-East
FK Ticha vs Botev Novi Pazar
1:1
May 3, 2015 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs FK Ticha
1:1
Oct 19, 2014 Third League - North-East
FK Ticha vs Botev Novi Pazar
6:1
May 31, 2014 Third League - North-East
FK Ticha vs Botev Novi Pazar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Novi Pazar 84 / 100
FK Ticha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Novi Pazar FK Ticha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Novi Pazar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: FK Ticha has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Botev Novi Pazar scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

FK Ticha has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Novi Pazar VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Novi Pazar

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

FK Ticha

(Away)
22 May
FK Ticha
0 : 3
Marisan
15 May
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
FK Ticha
08 May
FK Ticha
0 : 3
Inter Plachidol
30 Apr
Botev Novi Pazar
3 : 0
FK Ticha
24 Apr
FK Ticha
0 : 3
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 30 28 1 1 121:11 85
2 Chernomorets Balchik 30 24 4 2 85:14 76
3 Kaliakra 30 23 3 4 93:21 72
4 Suvorovo 30 19 2 9 47:38 59
5 FK Ticha 30 17 2 11 59:38 53
6 Benkovski Byala 30 15 4 11 46:39 49
7 Septemvri Tervel 30 15 1 14 43:46 46
8 Kubrat 30 14 3 13 48:45 45
9 Svetkavitsa 30 14 3 13 42:44 45
10 Botev Novi Pazar 30 12 2 16 45:61 38
11 Belitsa 30 10 4 16 39:58 34
12 Shumen 1929 30 9 5 16 41:52 32
13 Dve Mogili 30 6 4 20 19:53 22
14 Chernomorets Byala 30 6 3 21 25:68 21
15 Provadia 30 4 1 25 30:109 13
16 Dorostol 30 2 2 26 12:98 8
Promotion - B PFG 2015/2016 (Main)