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Stadium Background

Botev Novi Pazar vs Ludogorets III

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets III in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Botev Novi Pazar
6%
Draws
90%
Ludogorets III
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ludogorets III have won more games recently than Botev Novi Pazar.
  • Ludogorets III are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets III have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Novi Pazar Ludogorets III
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 23
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.88 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Ludogorets III
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Botev Novi Pazar
6:0
Mar 23, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:1
Sep 15, 2024 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Ludogorets III
0:0
Mar 26, 2023 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Botev Novi Pazar
7:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
Ludogorets III 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Novi Pazar Ludogorets III

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Botev Novi Pazar scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Ludogorets III let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Botev Novi Pazar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Novi Pazar VS Ludogorets III
1.88 Goals Scored 3.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291