Sport Picks
Botev Novi Pazar vs Ludogorets III
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets III in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets III.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ludogorets III
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Ludogorets III have won more games recently than Botev Novi Pazar.
- Ludogorets III are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Ludogorets III |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 23 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 3.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Ludogorets III
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Ludogorets III
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Botev Novi Pazar
6:0
Mar 23, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:1
Sep 15, 2024 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Ludogorets III
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
Ludogorets III 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botev Novi Pazar Ludogorets III
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Botev Novi Pazar scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Botev Novi Pazar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ludogorets III let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Botev Novi Pazar VS Ludogorets III
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Novi Pazar
(Home) 26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
13 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 0 FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 3
Ludogorets III
(Away) 26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3 Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3 Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
30 May
Benkovski
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1 Ludogorets III
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
