Sport Picks
Botev Novi Pazar vs Svetkavitsa 2014
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Botev Novi Pazar in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botev Novi Pazar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Svetkavitsa 2014
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Botev Novi Pazar haven't matched Svetkavitsa 2014's recent run of results.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Svetkavitsa 2014 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Svetkavitsa 2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Svetkavitsa 2014
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botev Novi Pazar 18 / 100
Svetkavitsa 2014 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botev Novi Pazar Svetkavitsa 2014
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Svetkavitsa 2014 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botev Novi Pazar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Svetkavitsa 2014 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Solid form: Botev Novi Pazar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Botev Novi Pazar VS Svetkavitsa 2014
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Novi Pazar
(Home) 03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4 Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4 Vihren
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
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Svetkavitsa 2014
(Away) 03 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Cherno More II
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1 Chernolomets
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1 Septemvri Dragoevo
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26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4 Svetkavitsa 2014
30 May
Spartak Varna II
1 : 1 Svetkavitsa 2014
16 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
