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Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Pro Cup Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Pro Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Botev Plovdiv at 2 goals for, 1.07 against; Botev Vratsa at 1.3 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor Botev Plovdiv slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.06, favoring Botev Plovdiv. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Botev Plovdiv
20%
Draws
29%
Botev Vratsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Plovdiv have won more games recently than Botev Vratsa.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Botev Plovdiv taking it.
  • Botev Plovdiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botev Vratsa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Botev Vratsa
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
3:1
Jul 21, 2024 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 76 / 100
Botev Vratsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Botev Vratsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Plovdiv scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Botev Vratsa let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Botev Plovdiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Botev Vratsa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
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Botev Vratsa

(Away)
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia -
Arda -
Cherno More -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Vratsa -
CSKA Sofia -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -