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Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Chandarov A.
Assist: Meotti C.
44' Event
Rodrigues M.
Assist: Kalu S.
46'
Sub
Longville C. In: Burban J.
Out: Longville C.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Botev Plovdiv and Lok. Plovdiv finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Botev Plovdiv
15%
Draws
37%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Plovdiv haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Botev Plovdiv a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.04 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
May 25, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
2:1
May 3, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv
0:2
Apr 8, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Chandarov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 59 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Plovdiv found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Lok. Plovdiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Botev Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Lok. Plovdiv
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
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Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)