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Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Plovdiv host Slavia Sofia in the efbet League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Botev Plovdiv have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Slavia Sofia's 1.54 scored and 1.11 conceded. Head-to-head, Botev Plovdiv have won 2 to Slavia Sofia's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Botev Plovdiv to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Botev Plovdiv
15%
Draws
37%
Slavia Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Botev Plovdiv taking it.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%
Slavia Sofia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Slavia Sofia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
1:1
Mar 3, 2025 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
1:0
May 20, 2024 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 68 / 100
Slavia Sofia 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Slavia Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Plovdiv found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Slavia Sofia conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Botev Plovdiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Slavia Sofia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Slavia Sofia

(Away)
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)