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Botev Vratsa II vs Dunav Lom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2023/2024 Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
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AI Match Summary

Dunav Lom in this Third League - North-West 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunav Lom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Botev Vratsa II
15%
Draws
0%
Dunav Lom
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Vratsa II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dunav Lom have won more games recently than Botev Vratsa II.
  • Model gives Botev Vratsa II a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Botev Vratsa II Clean Sheet 12%
Dunav Lom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa II Dunav Lom
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 1
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Third League - North-West
Dunav Lom vs Botev Vratsa II
0:3
Oct 27, 2023 Third League - North-West
Botev Vratsa II vs Dunav Lom
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa II 83 / 100
Dunav Lom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa II Dunav Lom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Vratsa II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunav Lom's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Botev Vratsa II found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Dunav Lom let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Botev Vratsa II VS Dunav Lom
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Vratsa II

(Home)
01 Jun
Botev Vratsa II
1 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
26 May
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 0
Botev Vratsa II
18 May
Botev Vratsa II
2 : 0
OFK Levski
11 May
Dunav Lom
0 : 3
Botev Vratsa II
03 May
Botev Vratsa II
1 : 5
Gorna
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Dunav Lom

(Away)
25 May
Dunav Lom
0 : 3
Gorna
18 May
Etar II
3 : 0
Dunav Lom
11 May
Dunav Lom
0 : 3
Botev Vratsa II
03 May
Boruna
3 : 0
Dunav Lom
27 Apr
Dunav Lom
0 : 3
Pavlikeni
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gorna 28 27 1 0 93:14 82
2 Akademik Svishtov 28 22 2 4 66:13 68
3 Sevlievo 28 19 4 5 69:22 61
4 Lokomotiv Mezdra 28 16 6 6 58:32 54
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 28 15 5 8 58:46 50
6 Etar II 28 14 2 12 49:42 44
7 Vihar Slavyanovo 28 10 5 13 45:44 35
8 Pavlikeni 28 9 4 15 43:70 31
9 Drenovets 28 8 5 15 35:63 29
10 Juventus Malchika 28 8 2 18 45:75 26
11 OFK Levski 28 7 5 16 31:50 26
12 Botev Vratsa II 28 6 4 18 36:53 22
13 Partizan Cerven Brjag 28 5 1 22 26:80 16
14 Boruna 28 8 5 15 40:64 29
15 Dunav Lom 28 10 1 17 28:54 31
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