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Botswana W vs Madagascar W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this COSAFA Cup Women 2018 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Botswana W
35%
Draws
40%
Madagascar W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Madagascar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Madagascar W average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Botswana W's 0.9.
  • Win probability leans Botswana W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Madagascar W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Botswana W Clean Sheet 20%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botswana W Madagascar W
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Madagascar W vs Botswana W
0:0
Sep 17, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
Botswana W vs Madagascar W
0:0
Mar 6, 2015 Friendly International Women
Botswana W vs Madagascar W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botswana W 49 / 100
Madagascar W 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botswana W Madagascar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botswana W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madagascar W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 19 outings.

Botswana W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Botswana W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 0.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Botswana W VS Madagascar W
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botswana W

(Home)
12 Apr
Saudi Arabia U20 W
0 : 3
Botswana W
10 Apr
Saudi Arabia W
1 : 1
Botswana W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
22 Feb
Botswana W
1 : 1
Eswatini W
19 Feb
Zambia W
3 : 0
Botswana W
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Madagascar W

(Away)
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
28 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Botswana W 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
3 Malawi W 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Madagascar W 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Cameroon W 3 2 0 1 14:2 6
3 Mozambique W 3 1 0 2 3:12 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda W 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Namibia W 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Eswatini W 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)