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Bouake vs Mouna

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Bouake and Mouna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bouake
30%
Draws
34%
Mouna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bouake

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mouna come out ahead of Bouake on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bouake taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bouake Clean Sheet 20%
Mouna Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bouake Mouna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Ligue 1
Bouake vs Mouna
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Bouake
2:2
Feb 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Bouake vs Mouna
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Bouake
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Bouake vs Mouna
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bouake 36 / 100
Mouna 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bouake Mouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mouna conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bouake stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bouake's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bouake VS Mouna
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bouake

(Home)
24 May
SO Armee
0 : 0
Bouake
16 May
Bouake
1 : 2
Stella Adjame
10 May
Tchologo
2 : 1
Bouake
02 May
SOL
0 : 1
Bouake
26 Apr
Bouake
1 : 0
ASEC Mimosas
Page 1 of 6

Mouna

(Away)
24 May
Korhogo
1 : 2
Mouna
17 May
San Pedro
3 : 1
Mouna
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
05 May
Zoman
1 : 3
Mouna
26 Apr
Mouna
0 : 1
Academie de FAD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASEC Mimosas30195650:2162
2San Pedro301410643:3252
3Academie de FAD30148840:2450
4Mouna301461042:3048
5Tchologo30129929:2945
6Stade d'Abidjan301271130:2843
7Stella Adjame301191028:2842
8SOL301231533:4639
9Korhogo301081231:3238
10Bouake309111024:2538
11SO Armee309101123:2337
12ISCA301061416:2736
13Agboville308101220:3034
14Zoman30891320:3233
15Olympique Sport30881427:4032
16Racing d'Abidjan30691524:3327
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)