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Bouake vs Mouna

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Bouake Logo

Bouake

1 - 2
FT
Mouna Logo

Mouna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Bouake and Mouna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bouake
20%
Draws
40%
Mouna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mouna come out ahead of Bouake on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bouake taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bouake Clean Sheet 20%
Mouna Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bouake Mouna
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Ligue 1
Bouake vs Mouna
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Bouake
2:2
Feb 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Bouake vs Mouna
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Bouake
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Bouake vs Mouna
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bouake 42 / 100
Mouna 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bouake Mouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mouna conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bouake stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bouake's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bouake VS Mouna
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bouake

(Home)
24 May
SO Armee
0 : 0
Bouake
16 May
Bouake
1 : 2
Stella Adjame
10 May
Tchologo
2 : 1
Bouake
02 May
SOL
0 : 1
Bouake
26 Apr
Bouake
1 : 0
ASEC Mimosas
Page 1 of 6

Mouna

(Away)
24 May
Korhogo
1 : 2
Mouna
17 May
San Pedro
3 : 1
Mouna
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
05 May
Zoman
1 : 3
Mouna
26 Apr
Mouna
0 : 1
Academie de FAD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASEC Mimosas 30 19 5 6 50:21 62
2 San Pedro 30 14 10 6 43:32 52
3 Academie de FAD 30 14 8 8 40:24 50
4 Mouna 30 14 6 10 42:30 48
5 Tchologo 30 12 9 9 29:29 45
6 Stade d'Abidjan 30 12 7 11 30:28 43
7 Stella Adjame 30 11 9 10 28:28 42
8 SOL 30 12 3 15 33:46 39
9 Korhogo 30 10 8 12 31:32 38
10 Bouake 30 9 11 10 24:25 38
11 SO Armee 30 9 10 11 23:23 37
12 ISCA 30 10 6 14 16:27 36
13 Agboville 30 8 10 12 20:30 34
14 Zoman 30 8 9 13 20:32 33
15 Olympique Sport 30 8 8 14 27:40 32
16 Racing d'Abidjan 30 6 9 15 24:33 27
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)