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Bouchamma vs Korba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Bouchamma Logo

Bouchamma

1 - 1
FT
Korba Logo

Korba

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Salem A.
90' Event
Sbayti R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Bouchamma and Korba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bouchamma
20%
Draws
40%
Korba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Korba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 20%
Korba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bouchamma Korba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Korba
1:0
May 12, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Korba
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Korba vs Bouchamma
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bouchamma Compare

Top Goalscorer Sbayti R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Korba Compare

Top Goalscorer Salem A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bouchamma 32 / 100
Korba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bouchamma Korba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bouchamma scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bouchamma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Korba conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bouchamma VS Korba
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bouchamma

(Home)
04 Oct
Redeyef
3 : 0
Bouchamma
27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0
Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
Page 1 of 6

Korba

(Away)
04 Oct
Korba
3 : 0
Gafsa
27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0
Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Korba
1 : 0
Djelma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)