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Bougouba vs Djoliba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Bougouba and Djoliba finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djoliba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bougouba
6%
Draws
90%
Djoliba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Djoliba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bougouba haven't matched Djoliba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Djoliba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Djoliba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 10%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Djoliba
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 22
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Djoliba
1:3
Dec 7, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Bougouba
0:1
May 18, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Bougouba
5:2
Jan 26, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Djoliba
0:3
Feb 8, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Djoliba
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 10 / 100
Djoliba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Djoliba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DJO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Bougouba scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Bougouba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Djoliba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Djoliba
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316