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Bougouba vs Djoliba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

1 - 3
FT
Djoliba Logo

Djoliba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Bougouba and Djoliba finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djoliba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bougouba
20%
Draws
40%
Djoliba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bougouba haven't matched Djoliba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Djoliba's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Djoliba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 10%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Djoliba
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 23
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Djoliba
1:3
Dec 7, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Bougouba
0:1
May 18, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Bougouba
5:2
Jan 26, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Djoliba
0:3
Feb 8, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Djoliba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 18 / 100
Djoliba 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Djoliba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djoliba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Bougouba scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Bougouba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Djoliba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 51% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Djoliba
1.29 Goals Scored 2.25
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bougouba

(Home)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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Djoliba

(Away)
12 Sept
Djoliba
2 : 2
Club Africain
05 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Djoliba
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)