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Bougouba vs Onze Createurs

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Onze Createurs in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Onze Createurs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bougouba
30%
Draws
37%
Onze Createurs
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Onze Createurs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Bougouba have won more games recently than Onze Createurs.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 22%
Onze Createurs Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Onze Createurs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Onze Createurs
0:2
Dec 26, 2025 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Bougouba
0:0
May 14, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Onze Createurs
2:3
Jan 21, 2025 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Bougouba
0:1
Mar 15, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Onze Createurs
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 32 / 100
Onze Createurs 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Onze Createurs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Onze Createurs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bougouba found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Onze Createurs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bougouba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Onze Createurs
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bougouba

(Home)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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Onze Createurs

(Away)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)