Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boulogne vs Dunkerque

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pinot A.
Assist: Fatar N.
13' Event
Robinet T.
Assist: Bardeli E.
17'
Linguet A.

AI Match Summary

Dunkerque in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunkerque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Boulogne
35%
Draws
32%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dunkerque lately — more wins on the board than Boulogne.
  • Model gives Boulogne a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 68%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Dunkerque
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:6
Nov 16, 2025 Coupe de France
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:3
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Boulogne
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Dunkerque vs Boulogne
1:5
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinot A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lecolier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinet T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sasso V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 50 / 100
Dunkerque 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boulogne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Boulogne remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Dunkerque lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Dunkerque
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
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Dunkerque

(Away)
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)