Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boulogne vs Dunkerque

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pinot A.
Assist: Fatar N.
13' Event
Robinet T.
Assist: Bardeli E.
17'
Linguet A.

AI Match Summary

Dunkerque in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunkerque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Boulogne
33%
Draws
40%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dunkerque lately — more wins on the board than Boulogne.
  • Model gives Dunkerque a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 12%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Dunkerque
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:6
Nov 16, 2025 Coupe de France
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:3
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Boulogne
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Dunkerque vs Boulogne
1:5
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinot A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lecolier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinet T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sasso V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 27 / 100
Dunkerque 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Boulogne found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Boulogne went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Dunkerque
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

Dunkerque

(Away)
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
10 Jul
Anderlecht
2 : 1
Dunkerque
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)