Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boulogne vs Grenoble

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Benet J.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Pinot A. In: Gourville S.
Out: Pinot A.
57'
Paquiez G.

AI Match Summary

Boulogne in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boulogne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Boulogne
35%
Draws
41%
Grenoble
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grenoble

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Grenoble's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Boulogne's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 20%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Grenoble
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 13
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Boulogne
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Grenoble
3:1
Jan 19, 2018 Ligue 3
Grenoble vs Boulogne
1:2
Aug 18, 2017 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Grenoble
0:1
Jan 21, 2015 Coupe de France
Boulogne vs Grenoble
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Platret A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burlet V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Grenoble Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 36 / 100
Grenoble 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Grenoble

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenoble let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Boulogne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Boulogne scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Grenoble
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
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Grenoble

(Away)
18 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 1
Clermont
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
04 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 2
Annecy
28 Aug
Laval
0 : 3
Grenoble
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0
Grenoble
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)