Sport Picks

France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération

Boulogne

2 - 2

Guingamp

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Ourega D.

Assist: Hemia A.

34'

Binet N.

45'

Louiserre D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Boulogne

22%

Draws

18%

Guingamp

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Boulogne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Boulogne haven't matched Guingamp's recent run of results.
Boulogne are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Boulogne Clean Sheet 68%

Guingamp Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Boulogne	Guingamp
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	7	8
Draws	9	7
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.5	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Boulogne

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 2

Boulogne vs Guingamp

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Feb 17, 2012 Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Boulogne

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sep 20, 2011 Ligue 2

Boulogne vs Guingamp

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Feb 9, 2010 Coupe de France

Boulogne vs Guingamp

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Fatou C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fatar N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Ourega D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mafouta L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 68 / 100

Guingamp 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Boulogne Guingamp

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boulogne found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Guingamp's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Guingamp lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Guingamp

0.5 Goals Scored 0.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

38% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Troyes	34	20	7	7	60:33	67
2	Le Mans	34	16	14	4	50:31	62
3	St Etienne	34	18	6	10	59:38	60
4	Red Star	34	16	10	8	45:37	58
5	Rodez	34	15	13	6	45:39	58
6	Reims	34	14	14	6	53:35	56
7	Annecy	34	15	7	12	49:39	52
8	Montpellier	34	14	9	11	41:31	51
9	Pau	34	12	9	13	48:62	45
10	Dunkerque	34	11	10	13	53:45	43
11	Guingamp	34	10	10	14	42:49	40
12	Grenoble	34	8	15	11	33:39	39
13	Clermont	34	9	10	15	38:44	37
14	Nancy	34	9	10	15	35:52	37
15	Boulogne	34	9	9	16	34:49	36
16	Laval	34	6	14	14	30:48	32
17	Bastia	34	5	13	16	23:39	28
18	Amiens SC	34	6	6	22	37:65	24
19	AC Ajaccio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0