Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Ourega D.
Assist: Hemia A.
34'
34'
Binet N.
45'
45'
Louiserre D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boulogne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Boulogne haven't matched Guingamp's recent run of results.
- Boulogne are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 68%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boulogne | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Guingamp
2:2
Feb 17, 2012 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
1:1
Sep 20, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Guingamp
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boulogne Compare
Top Goalscorer Fatou C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fatar N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Guingamp Compare
Top Goalscorer Ourega D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mafouta L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boulogne 50 / 100
Guingamp 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boulogne Guingamp
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boulogne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Guingamp conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Boulogne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Guingamp lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Boulogne VS Guingamp
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Boulogne
(Home) 14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0 Boulogne
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0 Nancy
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1 Boulogne
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1 Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1 Boulogne
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0 Nancy
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1 Rouen
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1 Versailles
02 May
Boulogne
1 : 2 Annecy
27 Apr
Boulogne
2 : 6 Dunkerque
Page 1 of 3
Guingamp
(Away) 14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0 Boulogne
08 Aug
Metz
2 : 1 Guingamp
01 Aug
Brest
3 : 3 Guingamp
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2 Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1 Concarneau
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Metz
2 : 1 Guingamp
01 Aug
Brest
3 : 3 Guingamp
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1 Guingamp
09 May
Clermont
1 : 0 Guingamp
24 Apr
Red Star
3 : 2 Guingamp
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 62 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 60 |
| 4 | Red Star | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Rodez | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 58 |
| 6 | Reims | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 56 |
| 7 | Annecy | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 9 | Pau | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | 39 |
| 13 | Clermont | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | 37 |
| 14 | Nancy | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Laval | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | 32 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens SC | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | 24 |
| 19 | AC Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)
