Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Ourega D.
Assist: Hemia A.
34'
34'
Binet N.
45'
45'
Louiserre D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guingamp
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Boulogne haven't matched Guingamp's recent run of results.
- Guingamp are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 16%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boulogne | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.74 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Guingamp
2:2
Feb 17, 2012 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
1:1
Sep 20, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Guingamp
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boulogne Compare
Top Goalscorer Fatou C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fatar N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Guingamp Compare
Top Goalscorer Ourega D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mafouta L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boulogne 23 / 100
Guingamp 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boulogne Guingamp
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guingamp Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Guingamp conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Boulogne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Boulogne scored in 52% of their last 27 games.
Scoring Trends
Boulogne VS Guingamp
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Boulogne
(Home) 02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1 Boulogne
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2 Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0 Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1 Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0 Boulogne
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2 Nantes
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1 Dijon
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1 Red Star
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0 Nancy
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1 Rouen
Page 1 of 3
Guingamp
(Away) 02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1 Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3 Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1 Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2 Guingamp
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3 Nantes
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2 Guingamp
21 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 0 Guingamp
08 Aug
Metz
2 : 1 Guingamp
01 Aug
Brest
3 : 3 Guingamp
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1 Guingamp
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 62 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 60 |
| 4 | Red Star | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Rodez | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 58 |
| 6 | Reims | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 56 |
| 7 | Annecy | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 9 | Pau | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | 39 |
| 13 | Clermont | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | 37 |
| 14 | Nancy | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Laval | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | 32 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens SC | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | 24 |
| 19 | AC Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)
