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Boulogne vs Le Mans

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Colas E. In: Harhouz W.
Out: Colas E.
61'
Sub
Rabillard A. In: Gueye D.
Out: Rabillard A.
62'
Sub
Quarshie E. In: Bourabaa A.
Out: Quarshie E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Boulogne and Le Mans finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Boulogne
33%
Draws
40%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Le Mans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Mans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Le Mans taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 16%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Le Mans
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Le Mans
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Boulogne
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Mans vs Boulogne
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Le Mans
3:2
Mar 11, 2022 Ligue 3
Le Mans vs Boulogne
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 28 / 100
Le Mans 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Le Mans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Boulogne scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Le Mans has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Boulogne stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Le Mans
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

Le Mans

(Away)
25 Jul
Le Mans
1 : 0
Nantes
22 Jul
Le Mans
3 : 1
Versailles
18 Jul
Le Mans
2 : 3
La Roche Vendee
09 May
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Mans
02 May
Le Mans
1 : 1
Reims
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)