Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boulogne vs Le Mans

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Colas E. In: Harhouz W.
Out: Colas E.
61'
Sub
Rabillard A. In: Gueye D.
Out: Rabillard A.
62'
Sub
Quarshie E. In: Bourabaa A.
Out: Quarshie E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Boulogne and Le Mans finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Boulogne
35%
Draws
39%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Le Mans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Le Mans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Boulogne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 20%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Le Mans
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.79 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Le Mans
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Boulogne
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Mans vs Boulogne
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Le Mans
3:2
Mar 11, 2022 Ligue 3
Le Mans vs Boulogne
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 36 / 100
Le Mans 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Le Mans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Boulogne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Boulogne's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Le Mans
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

Le Mans

(Away)
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)